– The two are highly competitive and it is rather difficult to predict who would carry the day home.
– However, supporters of other candidates would preferably throw their weight on Liseche if the race was to be reduced to a two-horse race.
– Liseche has a stronger and more committed support base than Nabii.
Business man Bryan Liseche would defeat Kakamega ODM rep Nabii Nabwera in the Lugari parliamentary race if elections were to be held today.
The two are the most popular candidates in the race.
This is according to the latest online poll by the Western Kenya Times conducted between March 12, 2022 and March 14, 2022.
In the poll that sought to determine the strength of support bases and social media influence of the two candidates, Liseche scooped 1,800 (58%) while Nabii garnered 1,300 (42%) of the 3,100 total votes, as shown by the system of voting.
The margin of error lied between plus and minus 3.50 percent.
A previous poll by Mizani Africa placed Nabii, who seeks to vie with the ODM ticket, at first position with a support of 33% percent while Liseche who will be running with a UDP ticket, was at second position with 28%.
Other candidates shared 39%.
An interpretation in comparison to Mizani Africa’s data suggests that majority of voters, who have other preferred candidates besides the two, would rather choose Liseche than Nabii if the election was to remain a two-horse.
It also shows that the two candidates are highly competitive and it is difficult to tell who has a better advantage in the August 9 polls.
Assessment of the data also showed that Liseche has a stronger and more committed support base.
The Western Kenya Times will be conducting simple and fair online polls every month in various election contests in Western Kenya to determine the direction of the 2022 elections.
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